PRODUCT DEMO · SYNTHETIC DATA

Does confirmation help?

These examples demonstrate how EDGE evaluates evidence. They are not findings about real financial markets.

Review exactly what will be tested

THE CLAIM

“A breakout with momentum confirmation beats an ordinary breakout.”

Does RSI confirmation improve the average signed 4-bar return of a close beyond the previous 20 completed bars?

Market / timeframe: Artificial SYNTHETIC-UNIT · 15m · completed UTC bars
Setup / condition: RSI(14) > 55 for an upward breakout; RSI(14) < 45 for a downward breakout.
Outcome / comparison: Average signed return after 4 bars, compared with ordinary breakouts matched by direction, time and volatility. This does not test win rate or execute trades.
What would support the claim?: A positive difference with useful uncertainty bounds that survives costs, nearby settings and separate periods.
What would weaken it?: An interval spanning zero, too few observations or a result that depends on one setting or period.

Frozen teaching hypothesis · Demo Version 1. These rules are fixed. This is not a saved account strategy or a new calculation.

I understand this is synthetic teaching evidence, not a real-market result.

Opens an existing illustration. No research is executed.