EDGE

01 / MYTHBUSTER

See a claim online?
Put it to the test.

Trading is full of confident claims. Mythbuster makes the question explicit and shows what the evidence actually supports.

Mythbuster

ILLUSTRATIVE PRODUCT PREVIEW · From claim to inspectable evidence

FEATURED CLAIM · ILLUSTRATIVE

“High volume
confirms breakouts.”

A confident sentence is a starting point. It is not yet a research definition.

WHAT DOES THAT ACTUALLY MEAN?

High volume

Compared with which baseline, on which venue?

Which baseline and venue?

Breakout

A close beyond which completed-bar range?

Which completed-bar range?

Confirms

More frequent continuation, a larger return, or a different outcome?

Frequency, return or another outcome?

PROPOSED INVESTIGATION · NOT APPROVED

Turn the claim into a question.

Does adding a declared volume condition change the defined breakout outcome against a fair comparison?

Market & period
Exact venue and authorised history to be reviewed
Event
Breakout range and volume baseline proposed explicitly
Comparison
Comparable events without the added volume condition
Outcome
Customer must choose what “confirms” means
Limitations
Selection, sample support, sensitivity and uncertainty

Illustrative research concept. No study is submitted.

THE INTENDED INVESTIGATION

  1. Claim
  2. Meaning
  3. Proposed study
  4. Research
  5. Evidence
  6. Conclusion
  7. Challenge

Defining the question, testing it and challenging the conclusion are separate steps.

EVIDENCE & CONCLUSION PREVIEW

The answer must be earned.

No research performed

Awaiting authorised research

A genuine result would connect the comparison, uncertainty and robustness to a qualified conclusion.

Comparison

Candidate and control outcomes, under the reviewed definition

Uncertainty

A range around the estimate, with relevant sample support

Robustness

Sensitivity to reasonable definitions and different periods

FUTURE PUBLIC RESEARCH RECORD

A conclusion with its context attached.

Inspect the record
Original claim
“High volume confirms breakouts.”
Approved definition
Not yet approved · proposal above
Current conclusion
Not available · no research performed
Date / version
Not issued · no public study identity
Primary limitation
No authorised evidence is attached

Claim · definition · conclusion · date/version · limitation

Not approved. No research or evidence. No public date or version issued.

Challenge this definition

Future concept: a challenge would be a linked investigation, preserving the original study. No challenge is created here.

EXAMPLE RESEARCH QUESTIONS

Familiar claims. Serious investigations.

Starting points for future research, not findings or a promise of current market coverage.

01 / EXAMPLE QUESTION

Does Bitcoin perform worse on Mondays?

Calendar effects · Crypto

Explore this question: Does Bitcoin perform worse on Mondays?

Define the session, comparison and holding period.

02 / EXAMPLE QUESTION

Does high volume confirm breakouts?

Participation · Breakouts

Explore this question: Does high volume confirm breakouts?

Separate continuation frequency from average return.

03 / EXAMPLE QUESTION

Does RSI oversold predict a rebound?

Indicators · Mean reversion

Explore this question: Does RSI oversold predict a rebound?

Specify oversold, rebound and the comparison.

04 / EXAMPLE QUESTION

Do large opening gaps tend to mean-revert?

Opening gaps · Equities

Explore this question: Do large opening gaps tend to mean-revert?

Make the session, gap size and fade horizon explicit.

05 / EXAMPLE QUESTION

Does the first FOMC move tend to reverse?

Event study · Macro

Explore this question: Does the first FOMC move tend to reverse?

Identify the release, observation window and direction.

06 / EXAMPLE QUESTION

Are opening-range breakouts regime dependent?

Regimes · Intraday

Explore this question: Are opening-range breakouts regime dependent?

Define the opening range and regime before testing.

AVAILABLE NOW · FIXED SYNTHETIC WALKTHROUGHS

See what an evidence review feels like.

Explore the existing teaching examples. Values are authored illustrations, not findings about real financial markets; no market data is fetched and no research is executed.

View synthetic walkthroughs
View does confirmation help? demo View is the sample enough? demo View does it survive scrutiny? demo View what would stronger evidence look like? demo

ONE CONNECTED RESEARCH SYSTEM

Your next question can start anywhere.

These are complementary entry points, not a mandatory sequence.

Mythbuster

Seen a claim worth testing? Explore Mythbuster.

You are here