← Choose a claim

PRODUCT DEMO · SYNTHETIC DATA

Is the sample enough?

These examples demonstrate how EDGE evaluates evidence. They are not findings about real financial markets.

  1. Claim
  2. Frozen hypothesis
  3. Conclusion & evidence

Review exactly what will be tested

THE CLAIM

“A breakout during a narrow time window is more reliable.”

A testable question

Does restricting breakouts to 08:00–12:00 UTC improve the average signed 4-bar return?

Market / timeframe
Artificial SYNTHETIC-UNIT · 15m · completed UTC bars
Setup / condition
Close beyond the previous 20 completed bars, restricted to the declared UTC window.
Outcome / comparison
Average signed return after 4 bars, compared with ordinary breakouts matched by direction, time and volatility. This does not test win rate or execute trades.
What would support the claim?
A positive difference with useful uncertainty bounds that survives costs, nearby settings and separate periods.
What would weaken it?
An interval spanning zero, too few observations or a result that depends on one setting or period.

Frozen teaching hypothesis · Demo Version 1. These rules are fixed. This is not a saved account strategy or a new calculation.

Opens an existing illustration. No research is executed.