PRODUCT DEMO · SYNTHETIC DATA
What would stronger evidence look like?
These examples demonstrate how EDGE evaluates evidence. They are not findings about real financial markets.
- Claim
- Frozen hypothesis
- Conclusion & evidence
Review exactly what will be tested
THE CLAIM
“A breakout with a pre-specified momentum condition has a persistent advantage.”
A testable question
Does the pre-specified RSI-confirmed breakout retain a positive control difference across nearby settings and separate periods?
- Market / timeframe
- Artificial SYNTHETIC-UNIT · 15m · completed UTC bars
- Setup / condition
- Close beyond the previous 20 completed bars; RSI(14) > 55 / < 45; no threshold chosen after inspecting this illustration.
- Outcome / comparison
- Average signed return after 4 bars, compared with ordinary breakouts matched by direction, time and volatility. This does not test win rate or execute trades.
- What would support the claim?
- A positive difference with useful uncertainty bounds that survives costs, nearby settings and separate periods.
- What would weaken it?
- An interval spanning zero, too few observations or a result that depends on one setting or period.
Frozen teaching hypothesis · Demo Version 1. These rules are fixed. This is not a saved account strategy or a new calculation.
Opens an existing illustration. No research is executed.